MP for Kluang • Political Education Director, Democratic Action Party

A nation in waiting

Malaysia is a nation in waiting for a profound change, especially since the 1999 general election, when sufficient numbers of Malaysians voted for a corrupt-free government, a democratic political system, and a more equitable distribution of opportunities and resources.

The themes that captured the attention of the electorate during the 1999 general election remained the same for the two subsequent elections, 2004 and 2008, except that in the 2004 elections, it was former Prime Minister Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi who stole the reform platform. The cry for reform was real ever since Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad assumed the premiership nearly 30 years ago.

The one-party state that has ruled the country since independence refused to recognise the need to change despite suffering heavy blows in the 2008 general election.

It is my fervent hope to see the nation in waiting for more than a decade will rise again to democratise our political system, to free our government from corruption, and to see through the transformation of our society that has social justice and equal opportunity at heart.

Only in such a society that we can restore hope and trust, and bring a new lease of life to our nation that is tired of waiting for change.

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Elected as Member of the Malaysian Federal Parliament for Bukit Bendera in the March 2008 election. Since 1999, Chin Tong has served DAP in various capacities and is now a Member of its Central Executive Committee, serving as International Secretary.

Learn more about Chin Tong’s Track Record

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Fuel hike causes more deaths on the road, and stagflation

Media statement by DAP National Political Education Director and MP for Kluang Liew Chin Tong on 2nd October 2014 Without improvement in our public transportation system, the latest fuel hike, announced on 1st October 2014, is an irresponsible move that will hurt the lower income group further. On 22nd September 2013 when the fuel price… Read More

Our love affair with cars will cause more road deaths

It seems that the Government, the banks, the housing developers and the middle class are all in love with the automobile culture. The problem is, the ubiquitous existence of motorcycles and world’s highest per capita road deaths are clear signs of public policy failure. A case which happened when I was first elected as Member… Read More

How to delay GST implementation: Government pays people to take buses

When I ask “Can we pay people to take bus?”, many instantly replied with a big “No”! But if we delve deeper, publicly funded public transport (specifically buses as other modes are costlier to fund and too slow to materialise) may be the answer to most of Malaysia’s economic and fiscal challenges. The Najib administration… Read More

Causeway toll wars creating a “wall” on the Causeway to separate two neighbours

‎Media statement by DAP Johor Chairman Liew Chin Tong ‎released at a press conference after “Forum Kedai Kopi” in Bukit Pasir, Pagoh on 13 September 2014 The ‎Land Transport Authority of Singapore yesterday announced its own version of toll hike from 1st October to “match” Malaysia’s sudden toll hike on 1st August. With both sides… Read More

Call on Liow Tiong Lai to halt KTMB’s sacking of union officials

Media statement by DAP National Political Education Director and MP for Kluang Liew Chin Tong on 10th September 2014 I call on Minister of Transport Liow Tiong Lai to halt all sackings by Keretapi Tanah Melayu Berhad (KTMB) of its union officials immediately. Ministerial intervention is necessary in the interest of the workers and KTMB… Read More

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    Liew Chin Tong
    Facebook IconOctober 2, 2014 at 10:00 pm

    [Admin]

    All are welcome!

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    Liew Chin Tong
    Facebook IconOctober 2, 2014 at 9:00 pm

    Fuel hike causes more deaths on the road, and stagflation

    Media statement by DAP National Political Education Director and MP for Kluang Liew Chin Tong on 2nd October 2014

    Without improvement in our public transportation system, the latest fuel hike, announced on 1st October 2014, is an irresponsible move that will hurt the lower income group further.

    On 22nd September 2013 when the fuel price was last increased, I said that “Research has shown that motorcycle fatalities shot up as a result of the March 2006 and June 2008 fuel hikes as the lower income group switched transport modes from cars to motorcycles. A new human disaster of more motorcycle fatalities is imminent, following the latest petrol price increase.”

    According to World Health Organisation’s Road Safety Report 2013, which was released recently, Malaysia has the highest per capita road deaths in the world. (Road fatalities per 100,000 population: India – 18.9; Russia – 18.6; China – 20.5; Malaysia- 25).

    Malaysia has the dubious record of having the highest road fatality risk, i.e. death per 100,000 population, in the world since 1996. Between 2000 and 2009, 4.5 million road accidents were reported with 58,582 deaths.

    Motorcycle fatalities are 3 times higher than car fatalities, 6 times higher than pedestrian fatalities and nearly 50 times higher than bus passenger fatalities.

    In other countries where public transport services are adequately and efficiently provided, petrol price increase will encourage private car drivers to switch to public transport. However, in the case of Malaysia, each fuel hike exercise means more deaths on the road.

    The other worrying challenge is that of stagflation in the making due to ill-advised policy choices. The combined economic effect of the latest fuel hike and the implementation of GST on 1st April 2015 may be the concurrent occurrence of inflation and stagnation, or “stagflation”.

    The Malaysian economy has been heavily depended on domestic demand as a growth driver over the past five years since the Global Financial Crisis which resulted in much lower external demands from advanced economies.

    The Finance Ministry had conceded that there will be inflation in the first year of GST implementation and “subsidy rationalisation”. What is yet to be recognised is that apart from inflation, the economy may also grind to a standstill as the disposable income of ordinary Malaysians is reduced by GST and fuel prices, which in turn results in much slower domestic demand.

    Stagflation is the worst nightmare for our economy. But no one seems to have an answer.

    Liew Chin Tong

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    Liew Chin Tong
    Facebook IconOctober 2, 2014 at 9:39 am

    Petrol hike causes motorcyclists' deaths

    Read the research by a group of UKM academics

    ABSTRACT

    While the world deals with demand uncertainty and oil supply interruption in the market from 2005 until 2008, petrol price at the pump in Malaysia increased by 65 percent over the period.

    This prices change has two effects.

    First, the direct impact on demand for petrol due to the increase in price; and second the subsequent impact on safety due to a change in demand for mobility and mix of transport modes. The expected reduction in mobility improves road safety by lowering exposure and accidents while the opposite effect is expected as road users switch to more risky mode (motorcycles) from a safer mode (cars). This switch is likely to be pronounced in a country like Malaysia because of the relatively unsatisfactory state of the public transport system.

    Findings from research in developed countries generally show a negative relationship between petrol price hike and road accident because users tend to travel less and switch to safer mode (public transport) following petrol price hike. The fact that switching to a riskier mode (motorcycles) is very likely in Malaysia due to the lack of a decent public transport service, revisiting the issue on the impact of price hike to safety using Malaysian data may give rise to opposite finding. In this study, quarterly data covering the period from 2000-2010 was used.

    The model was estimated using both multiple regression and Poisson model. Results of the estimations suggest that mode switching to motorcycles took place over the study period in response to rising gasoline prices. The study also deaths and injuries among motorcyclists increased over the same period.

    This result implies that the risk of accidents increase as a result of fuel price hikes thus contradicting findings of previous research done in developed countries. From the policy perspective, decision on fuel price increase must consider its negative impact on traffic safety.

    http://www.ukm.my/fep/perkem/pdf/perkemVII/PKEM2012_5C2.pdf

    http://www.ukm.my

    http://www.ukm.my

    Liew Chin Tong
    Facebook IconOctober 2, 2014 at 9:37 am

    Perubahan Harga Petrol dan Risiko Keselamatan Jalan Raya
    Petrol Price Changes and Risks to Road Safety

    Nizam Ahmat
    Nor Ghani Md Nor
    Ahmad Mohd Zin
    Abu Hassan Shaari Md Nor

    Pusat Pengajian Ekonomi

    Fakulti Ekonomi dan Perniagaan Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
    ABSTRAK

    Ketika dunia berhadapan dengan ketidaktentuan permintaan dan penawaran minyak di pasaran antara tahun 2005 hingga 2008, harga petrol di Malaysia telah mengalami peningkatan sebanyak 65 peratus dalam jangka masa tersebut.

    Perubahan harga ini telah meninggalkan dua kesan, pertama ialah kesan langsung iaitu perubahan permintaan ke atas petrol; dan kedua ialah peningkatan risiko terhadap keselamatan jalan raya (merupakan kesan tak langsung). Peningkatan risiko keselamatan jalan raya timbul ekoran daripada peralihan mod pengangkutan milik persendirian iaitu daripada kereta kepada motosikal. Hal ini berlaku disebabkan oleh masalah sistem pengangkutan awam yang kurang atau tidak cekap di negara ini berbanding dengan negara maju.

    Di negara maju, kajian lepas menunjukkan hubungan antara kenaikkan harga petrol dan risiko kemalangan jalan raya adalah berhubungan secara negatif.

    Oleh itu hipotesis kepada kajian ini ialah, hubungan antara peningkatan risiko kemalangan jalan dengan peningkatan harga petrol di negara ini adalah berhubungan secara positif. Jangkamasa yang dikaji ialah antara tahun 2000 hingga tahun 2010. Kaedah kajian yang digunakan ialah kaedah regrasi berbilang dianggar menggunakan permodelan poisson.

    Hasil keputusan kajian mendapati yang kenaikan harga petrol telah meningkatkan jangkaan kematian dan kecederaan motosikal dari tahun 2006 hingga tahun 2010.

    Keputusan ini memberikan implikasi berikut; berlaku peningkatan risiko kemalangan yang menyebabkan berlaku pertambahan jumlah kematian dan kecederaan motosikal semasa kenaikan harga minyak.

    Penemuan kajian ini dapat membuktikan hipothesis positif antara kenaikan harga minyak dengan risiko keselamatan motosikal.

    Justeru itu, dari segi dasar awam, keputusan untuk meningkat harga petrol seharusnya mengambil kesan negatif terhadap keselamatan pengguna jalanraya.

    Kod JEL:
    Kata Kunci : Perubahan Harga, Risiko Kemalangan Jalan Raya, Pengangkutan Awam.


    http://www.ukm.my/fep/perkem/pdf/perkemVII/PKEM2012_5C2.pdf

    http://www.ukm.my

    http://www.ukm.my

    Liew Chin Tong
    October 2, 2014 at 9:34 am

    Liew Chin Tong commented on his own link.